My passing thoughts on the season's first, and likely only hurricane

I held off on blog posting about the hurricane because I didnt know how I wanted to go about it. What I would do with my personal facebook page is follow the storm from formation to demise, but obviously the format here is not conducive to that due to the sheer volume of posts that would occur. I feel like this is a happy medium. 1 blog post per storm that threatens land AND is at least a hurricane, OR expected to yield prolific rainfall totals/other extraordinary conditions that is either a hurricane or tropical storm. That will keep out a lot of fluff. 

Isiaias is a pretty raggedy hurricane, but this is what you get in a huge el nino year. Its currently a category 2 with winds of 105 mph ish. The main core is an intense eyewall segment in the northwest quadrant that will absolutely not remain intact due to an influx of shear coming in from a trough at 500 mb over Texas, phasing with the hurricane and ejecting it northward. 

Its core is pretty small, so the most severe impacts will be limited to coastal areas only and mainly on the eastern side of the storm due to the direction of wind shear being imparted by the oncoming trough. A feeder band taking shape over the Yucatan peninsula will be a secondary threat, and will begin pivoting northward along with the hurricane. Expect potential supercell/waterspout activity over Apalachicola to Destin area of FL. 

Inland wind gusts should not exceed 85 mph. Even 5 miles inland, wind can drop rapidly due to friction, so while 100 mph winds can and will occur 1000 ft up, most of it wont mix down, and you will generally be getting 85 mph gusts 10% of the time or less. Expect sustained to hover around 45-50 mph. Coastal, obviously higher. As the storm punches inland, flooding will occur as the core dies out, and the storm transitions into a larger scale cold core low.